JamesEE asks:
How many total vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in 2023?
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Tesla produced a record 343,830 vehicles in the third quarter of 2022, and production is expected to rise into 2023 (InsideEVs, Tesla Owners Online). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using Tesla's official quarterly updates once available, typically found under "Shareholder Deck" here: https://ir.tesla.com/financial-information/quarterly-results. Tesla's total deliveries of vehicles during the first three quarters of 2022 was 908,573 (Tesla - Q3 2022 Update, see page 7).
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The question closed "Between 1.7 million and 2.0 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 1.1 million | 3% | |
| Between 1.1 million and 1.4 million, inclusive | 4% | |
| More than 1.4 million but fewer than 1.7 million | 5% | |
| Between 1.7 million and 2.0 million, inclusive | 78% | |
| More than 2.0 million but fewer than 2.3 million | 5% | |
| Between 2.3 million and 2.6 million, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than 2.6 million | 3% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 87 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 404 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
