Will there be a pilot strike at a major US airline before 1 March 2023?

Started Nov 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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US airlines are facing the prospect of pilot strikes as labor negotiations continue (CNBC, CBS News, CNN). For the purposes of this question, the major US airlines are American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Southwest Airlines, and United Airlines. A strike need not include all airline pilots to count. The duration of a strike would be immaterial so long as the strike actually begins.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 March 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.71%
No 99.29%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 59
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 176
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.087
2.
-0.087
3.
-0.083
4.
-0.072
5.
-0.068

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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