The Economist asks:
What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 30 September 2023, according to CoinMarketCap?
Started
Nov 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2023 06:45AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2023 06:45AM UTC
Tags
Troubles at the crypto exchange FTX are the latest hit to the cryptocurrency ecosystem (Economist, CNBC, CoinDesk, Decrypt). The outcome will be determined using the last value dated 30 September 2023 (PT) as reported by CoinMarketCap under "Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap" (CoinMarketCap, set "Zoom" to "7d").
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The question closed "Between $1.0 trillion and $1.4 trillion, inclusive" with a closing date of 30 September 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $200 billion | 1% | |
| Between $200 billion and $600 billion, inclusive | 3% | |
| More than $600 billion but less than $1.0 trillion | 20% | |
| Between $1.0 trillion and $1.4 trillion, inclusive | 67% | |
| More than $1.4 trillion but less than $1.8 trillion | 6% | |
| Between $1.8 trillion and $2.2 trillion, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than $2.2 trillion | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 243 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1062 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
