Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:
What will be the percentage change in Qatar's real GDP for the fourth quarter of 2022 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2021?
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
As host of the World Cup in the fourth quarter of 2022, Qatar is expected to see a positive effect on its GDP (Zawya, Wilson Center). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using constant prices data as first reported by the Planning and Statistics Authority (PSA) of Qatar in its Quarterly National Accounts Bulletin for the fourth quarter of 2022 (Qatar Planning and Statistics Authority - National Accounts). In its Quarterly National Accounts Bulletin for the fourth quarter of 2021, the percentage change in Qatar's real GDP was 2.0% (Qatari National Accounts 4th Quarter 2021, see "Estimates of Quarterly Gross Domestic Product by Economic Activities at Constant Prices (2018=100), Q4, 2021" under "Y-o-Y" on page 10 in the file. Please note that there may be discrepancies between the title of a link to a report and the title in the report file itself. The report files themselves will be used.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Higher by between 6.0% and 8.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Higher by less than 2.0% or lower | 11% | |
Higher by between 2.0% and 4.0%, inclusive | 6% | |
Higher by more than 4.0% but less than 6.0% | 52% | |
Higher by between 6.0% and 8.0%, inclusive | 18% | |
Higher by more than 8.0% | 13% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 16 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 190 | |
Number of Forecasts | 25 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 548 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |