Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Before 1 August 2023, will India and Taiwan either sign or announce the completion of negotiations on a free trade agreement (FTA)?

Started Nov 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

India and Taiwan began negotiations for a free trade agreement in 2021 (Economic Times, Diplomat, The Hindu). The signing of an FTA or the announcement of an agreement in principle (see EU-Mercosur announcement) would count, and ratification would be immaterial (e.g., NZ Ministry of Foreign Affairs & Trade, BBC - EU-Mercosur announcement).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 August 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 3.44%
No 96.56%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 66
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 182
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.10879
2.
-0.10879
3.
-0.10709
4.
-0.105999
5.
-0.10217

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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