How many worker actions will the China Labour Bulletin (CLB) report between 1 December 2022 and 31 May 2023?

Started Dec 02, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The CLB is an NGO that, among other things, tracks worker incidents in the People's Republic of China (CLB). The question will be suspended on 31 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the CLB in its Strike Map (CLB - Strike Map). To download the data, select the relevant ranges for "Date," and "All" for location and industry. Data will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 14 June 2023. CLB reported 530 worker actions between 1 December 2021 and 31 May 2022.

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The question closed "More than 500 but fewer than 700" with a closing date of 1 June 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 300 11%
Between 300 and 500, inclusive 1%
More than 500 but fewer than 700 75%
Between 700 and 900, inclusive 3%
More than 900 but fewer than 1,100 1%
1,100 or more 10%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 17
Average for questions older than 6 months: 220
Number of Forecasts 60
Average for questions older than 6 months: 615
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

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Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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