Between 9 December 2022 and 9 June 2023, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device?

Started Dec 09, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 10, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Amid an increase in ballistic missile tests in 2022, there are concerns that North Korea may test another nuclear weapon (Vox, Voice of America). North Korea's most recent nuclear detonation was in 2017 (BBC).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 1.06% -0.09% -1.97% -17.94%
No 98.94% +0.09% +1.97% +17.94%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username