Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will British Columbia have more than 2,100 workplace COVID-19 claims registered for any month between December 2022 and March 2023?
Closed Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using data as first reported by the Workers’ Compensation Board of British Columbia (WorkSafeBC, see "Monthly COVID-19 claims registered"). In December 2021, 213 COVID-19 claims were registered. Monthly highs for 2022 include 2,284 in January and 2,103 in February.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 April 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5.50% | |
| No | 94.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 28 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 54 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
