Kinnaj asks:

When will Florida Governor Ron DeSantis register with the FEC to run for US president in 2024?

Started Dec 23, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 24, 2023 06:36PM UTC

There is broad speculation that Governor DeSantis will run for president in 2024 (NPR, Politico, BBC). Persons running for federal office in the US must register with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) upon raising or spending more than $5,000 in contributions or expenditures (FEC - Registration, FEC - Candidates).

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The question closed "Between 1 May 2023 and 31 July 2023" with a closing date of 24 May 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 February 2023 3%
Between 1 February 2023 and 30 April 2023 0%
Between 1 May 2023 and 31 July 2023 90%
Between 1 August 2023 and 31 October 2023 4%
Not before 1 November 2023 4%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 93
Average for questions older than 6 months: 215
Number of Forecasts 445
Average for questions older than 6 months: 606
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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