Started Dec 23, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Kinnaj asks:

When will Florida Governor Ron DeSantis register with the FEC to run for US president in 2024?

There is broad speculation that Governor DeSantis will run for president in 2024 (NPR, Politico, BBC). Persons running for federal office in the US must register with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) upon raising or spending more than $5,000 in contributions or expenditures (FEC - Registration, FEC - Candidates).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 1 February 2023 1.00% +0.00% -1.00% -6.00%
Between 1 February 2023 and 30 April 2023 24.00% +0.00% +3.00% -6.00%
Between 1 May 2023 and 31 July 2023 44.00% +0.00% -1.00% +2.00%
Between 1 August 2023 and 31 October 2023 17.00% +0.00% +0.00% +2.00%
Not before 1 November 2023 14.00% +0.00% -1.00% +8.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username