Kinnaj asks:
When will Florida Governor Ron DeSantis register with the FEC to run for US president in 2024?
Closed May 24, 2023 06:36PM UTC
There is broad speculation that Governor DeSantis will run for president in 2024 (NPR, Politico, BBC). Persons running for federal office in the US must register with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) upon raising or spending more than $5,000 in contributions or expenditures (FEC - Registration, FEC - Candidates).
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The question closed "Between 1 May 2023 and 31 July 2023" with a closing date of 24 May 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 February 2023 | 3% | |
| Between 1 February 2023 and 30 April 2023 | 0% | |
| Between 1 May 2023 and 31 July 2023 | 90% | |
| Between 1 August 2023 and 31 October 2023 | 4% | |
| Not before 1 November 2023 | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 93 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 198 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 445 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 501 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
