Will Finland and/or Sweden become members of NATO before 1 July 2023?
Closed Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
On 18 May 2022, the countries of Finland and Sweden both submitted applications to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and approval from Hungary and Turkey were the final remaining obstacles to membership as of the end of 2022 (NATO, NPR, Euronews, NATO Parliamentary Assembly). The latest country to join NATO was North Macedonia on 27 March 2020 (NATO).
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The question closed "Yes, Finland only" with a closing date of 1 July 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, Finland only | 97% | |
| Yes, Sweden only | 0% | |
| Yes, both Finland and Sweden | 2% | |
| No | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 183 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 219 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1149 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 613 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
