UBS asks:

What will be the People's Republic of China's (PRC's) "Urban Surveyed Unemployment Rate of the Population Aged from 16 to 24(%)" for June 2023?

Started Jan 06, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Youth unemployment in the PRC was a problem in 2022, with the unemployment rate for those between 16 and 24 years of age nearly hitting 20% in July 2022 (CNN, France 24). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China (National Bureau of Statistics). To access the data, click "The Urban Surveyed Unemployment Rate" under "Indicators," then click "The Urban Surveyed Unemployment Rate" option immediately underneath. The relevant data may be found in the row titled "The Urban Surveyed Unemployment Rate of the Population Aged from 16 to 24(%)." Use the horizontal scroll bar to the right to scroll through the monthly data. In January 2022, the rate was 15.3%. Please note that your browser may not recognize the security certificate used by China's National Bureau of Statistics. Statistica also reports these data at the following link, but the data as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics will be used for resolution (Statistica).

This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 14.0% 8.88% -0.75% -1.18% -5.12%
Between 14.0% and 15.0%, inclusive 8.44% -0.56% -1.56% -6.56%
More than 15.0% but less than 16.0% 20.50% +0.12% -1.56% +1.50%
Between 16.0% and 17.0%, inclusive 36.25% +0.12% -2.13% +6.25%
More than 17.0% but less than 18.0% 11.94% +0.56% +2.31% +0.94%
Between 18.0% and 19.0%, inclusive 8.06% +0.31% +3.81% +1.06%
More than 19.0% but less than 20.0% 3.63% +0.13% +0.25% -0.37%
20.0% or more 2.31% +0.06% +0.06% +2.31%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username