Before 1 January 2024, will the presidents of Russia and Ukraine meet in person?

Started Jan 06, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, both Ukrainian President Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin have each brought up the potential for peace talks (NPR, Axios). The meeting must be face-to-face but can occur in any venue and does not need to be bilateral to count. An acting president under the constitution of the relevant country would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.31%
No 97.69%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 274
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1069
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.004157
2.
-0.004157
3.
-0.004157
4.
-0.004157
5.
-0.004157

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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