Started Sep 14, 2015 08:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 13, 2015 04:22PM UTC

Will the Iranian Parliament approve the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action before 1 November 2015?

Iran's Supreme Leader has ordered the Iranian Parliament -- the Islamic Consultative Assembly, or Majles -- to vote on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/04/world/middleeast/ayatollah-ali-khamenei-iran-supreme-leader-nuclear-deal-vote.html ).

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 96.00%
No 4.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 145
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 322
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.011
3.
-0.011
4.
-0.009

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username