JamesEE asks:

What will be the closing value of the NYSE FANG+ Index on 3 November 2023?

Started Jan 06, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2023 07:00AM UTC

Shares of technology companies lost trillions of dollars in value in 2022 (MarketWatch). The NYSE FANG+ Index includes ten of the largest tech companies traded in the US (Intercontinental Exchange). The outcome will be determined using data from S&P as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance).

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The question closed "More than 5,400" with a closing date of 3 November 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 3,200 0%
Between 3,200 and 3,700, inclusive 0%
More than 3,700 but less than 4,100 0%
Between 4,100 and 4,500, inclusive 1%
More than 4,500 but less than 4,900 1%
Between 4,900 and 5,400, inclusive 5%
More than 5,400 93%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 41
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 255
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.207
2.
-0.202
3.
-0.178
4.
-0.171
5.
-0.148

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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