Started Jan 18, 2023 10:00PM UTC   •   Closing Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Fujitsu asks:

Between 18 January 2023 and 28 February 2023, will 60 or more countries in the UN General Assembly either vote against or abstain from voting on a resolution in any way condemning Russia by name?

For examples of previous resolutions in any way condemning Russia by name, please see https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/3990673?ln=en and https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/3965290?ln=en. Some variation of the verb "condemn" must be used in the resolution to count. In a related UN General Assembly resolution from October 2022, a total of 40 countries had either voted against the resolution (5 countries) or abstained (35 countries) (UN).

NOTE: Questions in the Fujitsu Hivemind Challenge have been partly crowdsourced through a research project and consequently may have experimental framings.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes 28.09% -0.27% +13.89%
No 71.91% +0.27% -13.89%

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