What will be the annual percentage change in the National Consumer Price Index in Pakistan in June 2023?

Started Jan 20, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Pakistan is facing inflation as the country recovers from massive flooding in 2022 and dwindling foreign reserves (Business Standard, Al Jazeera). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, Trading Economics). In December 2022, the National Consumer Price Index rose 24.47% versus December 2021 (Pakistan Bureau of Statistics - CPI Monthly Review December 2022, see "General" row in Table 1).

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The question closed "Higher by more than 20.00% but less than 30.00%" with a closing date of 1 July 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower by more than 10.00% 0%
Higher by between 10.00% and 20.00%, inclusive 0%
Higher by more than 20.00% but less than 30.00% 4%
Higher by between 30.00% and 40.00%, inclusive 89%
Higher by more than 40.00% but less than 50.00% 7%
50.00% or higher 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 21
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 100
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.125
2.
-0.1
3.
-0.072
4.
-0.07
5.
-0.053

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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