Which film will win the 2023 Oscar for Best Picture?

Started Jan 27, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 12, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Challenges

The 95th Academy Awards, known as the Oscars, are scheduled for 12 March 2023 (Oscars). In the event of a tie, the film with the higher box office total through and including 11 March 2023 according to Box Office Mojo would be deemed the winner.

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The question closed "Everything Everywhere All at Once" with a closing date of 12 March 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
All Quiet on the Western Front 12%
Avatar: The Way of Water 15%
The Banshees of Inisherin 9%
Elvis 3%
Everything Everywhere All at Once 36%
The Fablemans 4%
Tár 4%
Top Gun: Maverick 12%
Triangle of Sadness 3%
Women Talking 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 112
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 210
Average for questions older than 6 months: 595
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.641
2.
-0.604
3.
-0.604
4.
-0.604
5.
-0.441

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
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