Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

How many total international overnight guests will visit Dubai in 2023, according to the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism?

Started Feb 02, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Tourism levels in Dubai have recovered from the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic, and has implemented new policies to attract for visitors to the emirate (BBC, Skift). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using data from the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism (Dubai Tourism). In 2021, 7.28 million total international overnight guests visited Dubai, while 16.73 million visited in 2019 (Dubai Tourism - December 2021 Report, Dubai Tourism - 2019 Annual Report, Dubai Tourism - Research and Insights).

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The question closed "Between 16.0 and 19.0 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 10.0 million 1%
Between 10.0 and 13.0 million, inclusive 1%
More than 13.0 but fewer than 16.0 million 19%
Between 16.0 and 19.0 million, inclusive 70%
More than 19 million but fewer than 22.0 million 8%
22.0 million or more 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 19
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 60
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.085
3.
-0.068
4.
-0.046
5.
-0.033

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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