UBS asks:

What will be the average price of large eggs per dozen in the US as of 3 March 2023, according to the USDA?

Started Feb 03, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 03, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Egg prices rose substantially in 2022, though there are reports that they may have peaked in December (USA Today, Farm Policy News). The question will be suspended on 2 March 2023 and the outcome determined using data from the USDA (USDA - Shell Eggs: Weekly Combined Regional Shell Eggs, click on a release of the report and look up the value in the "COMBINED REGIONAL" row under the "LARGE" column). Links to previous releases are available at the bottom of the page. On 27 January 2023, the USDA reported the average combined regional price of 337.34 cents per dozen (USDA - Weekly Combined Regional Shell Eggs 27 January 2023).

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The question closed "More than 250 cents but less than 300 cents" with a closing date of 3 March 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 200 cents 7%
Between 200 cents and 250 cents, inclusive 64%
More than 250 cents but less than 300 cents 21%
Between 300 cents and 350 cents, inclusive 2%
More than 350 cents but less than 400 cents 2%
Between 400 and 450 cents, inclusive 2%
More than 450 cents 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 74
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 203
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.17007
2.
-0.144173
3.
-0.134095
4.
-0.130279
5.
-0.123851

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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