Polymorpheus asks:

Before 1 August 2023, will a US release date for The Winds of Winter be announced by the author and/or publisher?

Started Feb 17, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The Winds of Winter is the planned sixth novel in George R. R. Martin's "A Song of Ice and Fire" fantasy series that inspired HBO's Game of Thrones (Rotten Tomatoes). There have been rumors that it could be released in 2023, though similar claims have been made in the past (Epic Stream, Express, Entertainment Weekly). A sixth novel in the series would count even if renamed from The Winds of Winter.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 August 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.17%
No 99.83%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 219
Number of Forecasts 101
Average for questions older than 6 months: 613
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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