Polymorpheus asks:
Will Paul Vallas win Chicago's 2023 mayoral election runoff?
Started
Mar 03, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 04, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Closed Apr 04, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Mayor Lori Lightfoot failed to reach the top two in Chicago's general election on 28 February 2023, leaving Chicago voters with the choice between Paul Vallas and Brandon Johnson for the office (NBC Chicago, NBC News). The runoff election is scheduled for 4 April 2023 (Ballotpedia).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 4 April 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.63% | |
| No | 34.37% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 39 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 96 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
