What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2023?
Closed Apr 16, 2023 11:59PM UTC
As China emerges from its "zero COVID" policy while dealing with a distressed property market, the prospects of new economic growth are in focus (CNBC, CNN). The question will be suspended on 16 April 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from China's National Bureau of Statistics as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in April 2023 (Trading Economics).
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The question closed "Higher by between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 17 April 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower by more than 0.0% | 2% | |
| Higher by between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive | 5% | |
| Higher by more than 2.0% but less than 4.0% | 35% | |
| Higher by between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive | 53% | |
| Higher by more than 6.0% but less than 8.0% | 5% | |
| Higher by 8.0% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 76 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 197 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 135 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 500 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
