What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2023?

Started Mar 08, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 16, 2023 11:59PM UTC

As China emerges from its "zero COVID" policy while dealing with a distressed property market, the prospects of new economic growth are in focus (CNBC, CNN). The question will be suspended on 16 April 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from China's National Bureau of Statistics as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in April 2023 (Trading Economics).

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The question closed "Higher by between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 17 April 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower by more than 0.0% 2%
Higher by between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive 5%
Higher by more than 2.0% but less than 4.0% 35%
Higher by between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive 53%
Higher by more than 6.0% but less than 8.0% 5%
Higher by 8.0% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 76
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 135
Average for questions older than 6 months: 578
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.093408
2.
-0.089269
3.
-0.086348
4.
-0.085761

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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