Started Sep 13, 2016 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC

Will negotiations on a China-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement be completed before 1 October 2017?

China and the GCC started negotiating a free-trade agreement in 2004, and in early 2016 the parties accelerated their talks in an effort to conclude the deal (Middle East Eye, China FTA Network news release, China FTA Network news archive). For this question to resolve negotiators must reach an agreement. Ratification by the parties to the agreement is not required. Recommended Questions Will the merchandise value of Iran's imports and exports in 2016 exceed $140 billion? Will negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) be completed in 2016?


China and the members of the GCC have not completed negotiations on an FTA. This question closed as "No," with and end date of 1 October 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 319
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 1449
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.461
3.
-0.454
4.
-0.451
5.
-0.449

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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