What will be the US national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 15 May 2023, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

Started Mar 22, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 14, 2023 11:59PM UTC

Lower demand due to a slowing economy and the fallout from bank failures are expected to depress gasoline prices in the near term (CNN, WANE). The question will be suspended on 14 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 15 May 2023 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).

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The question closed "Between $3.30 and $3.60, inclusive" with a closing date of 15 May 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2.70 0%
Between $2.70 and $3.00, inclusive 0%
More than $3.00 but less than $3.30 2%
Between $3.30 and $3.60, inclusive 94%
More than $3.60 but less than $3.90 4%
Between $3.90 and $4.20, inclusive 0%
More than $4.20 but less than $4.50 0%
$4.50 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 69
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 274
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.057
3.
-0.057
4.
-0.044
5.
-0.038

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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