Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Prince Harry and/or Meghan Markle attend King Charles III's coronation in Westminster Abbey?

Started Apr 07, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 06, 2023 07:01AM UTC

There is wide speculation on whether Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex, and his wife Meghan Markle, will attend his father's coronation (E! Online, InStyle). Prince Harry and/or Meghan Markle must be physically present in Westminster Abbey at the same time as King Charles III to count. The coronation is scheduled to take place on 6 May 2023 (BBC).

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The question closed "Yes, only Prince Harry" with a closing date of 6 May 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only Prince Harry 90%
Yes, only Meghan Markle 2%
Yes, both Prince Harry and Meghan Markle 8%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 63
Average for questions older than 6 months: 220
Number of Forecasts 146
Average for questions older than 6 months: 615
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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