Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Donald Trump be reelected as president of the US in 2024?

Started Apr 13, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Former President Trump has registered to run for reelection in 2024, though he faces several legal obstacles in the near term (NPR, BBC).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 47.58% -0.49% +1.49% +1.93%
No 52.42% +0.49% -1.49% -1.93%

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