Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen or a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 January 2024?
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Drought, conflict, and other factors have left millions in Yemen and the Horn of Africa facing potential famine (NPR, PBS, BBC). For the purposes of this question, the countries in the Horn of Africa are Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, and Uganda (Britannica). For general information on how famines are declared, see: NPR. The reporting of famine conditions without a UN famine declaration would not count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 11.22% | |
No | 88.78% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 45 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193 | |
Number of Forecasts | 178 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 554 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |