How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in May 2023?

Started Apr 28, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 30, 2023 11:59PM UTC

Total air passenger traffic in the US is close to recovering to pre-pandemic levels (Aviation Week). The outcome will be determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA).

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The question closed "Between 74 million and 77 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 June 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 68 million 5%
Between 68 million and 71 million, inclusive 5%
More than 71 million but fewer than 74 million 17%
Between 74 million and 77 million, inclusive 71%
More than 77 million but fewer than 80 million 2%
80 million or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 47
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 191
Number of Forecasts 214
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 488
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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