UBS asks:
Will Sweden become a member of NATO before 1 October 2023?
Closed Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
While Sweden submitted its application to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in May 2022, approval from Hungary and Turkey remain obstacles to membership (US News & World Report, Voice of America, NATO Parliamentary Assembly). The latest country to join NATO was Finland on 4 April 2023 (NATO).
This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.13% | |
| No | 95.87% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 160 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 176 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 754 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 517 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
