UBS asks:

Will Sweden become a member of NATO before 1 October 2023?

Started May 05, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

While Sweden submitted its application to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in May 2022, approval from Hungary and Turkey remain obstacles to membership (US News & World Report, Voice of America, NATO Parliamentary Assembly). The latest country to join NATO was Finland on 4 April 2023 (NATO).

This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 64.74% +2.39% +14.53% -3.85%
No 35.26% -2.39% -14.53% +3.85%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username