When will the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) sign or announce an agreement to end their current conflict in Sudan?
Closed Aug 15, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Fighting began between the SAF and RSF on 15 April 2023 and has raised fears of both a civil war and humanitarian catastrophes (CNN, Politico, Al Jazeera). A signed or announced agreement must be acknowledged by both the SAF and RSF to count. An armistice or a ceasefire of indefinite duration would count and must include the whole of Sudan. Time-limited agreements (e.g., 72-hour ceasefire) would not count. The date an agreement would take effect is immaterial.
The question closed "Not before 15 August 2023" with a closing date of 15 August 2023.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Before 15 May 2023||0%|
|Between 15 May 2023 and 31 May 2023||0%|
|Between 1 June 2023 and 30 June 2023||0%|
|Between 1 July 2023 and 14 August 2023||0%|
|Not before 15 August 2023||100%|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||40|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 215|
|Number of Forecasts||198|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 605|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||average|