When will Italy give written notice to China that it will terminate its agreement for the Belt and Road Initiative?
Started
May 12, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Italy signed a memorandum of understanding with China on 23 March 2019 to join the latter's Belt and Road Initiative, which would be automatically extended through at least 2029 unless Italy gives written notice to China that it is terminating the agreement (Al Jazeera, Italian Government, US News & World Report).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
---|---|---|---|
Before 1 July 2023 | 6.00% | +0.00% | +2.00% |
Between 1 July 2023 and 30 September 2023 | 17.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |
Between 1 October 2023 and 31 December 2023 | 20.00% | +0.00% | -2.00% |
Not before 1 January 2024 | 57.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |