Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the New Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the 2023 Alberta Legislative Assembly elections?
Started
May 12, 2023 10:55PM UTC
Closed May 30, 2023 02:00AM UTC
Closed May 30, 2023 02:00AM UTC
Alberta voters are scheduled to vote on 29 May 2023 in what polls show is a tight race for control of the legislature amid widespread wildfires in the Canadian province (388Canada, CBC, CBC). If the election date is postponed in a constituency or constituencies, the closing date will be extended to accommodate the delayed dates in case the outcome of the question is dependent on their results.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 29 May 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 27.10% | |
| No | 72.90% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 23 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 191 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 53 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 487 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
