What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 20 November 2023, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

Started May 19, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 20, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) is forecasting lower gas prices in the second half of 2023, though OPEC is acting to support petroleum prices (EIA - Short-term Energy Outlook May 2023, Energy Now). The question will be suspended on 19 November 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 20 November 2023 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).

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The question closed "More than $3.30 but less than $3.60" with a closing date of 20 November 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2.40 0%
Between $2.40 and $2.70, inclusive 0%
More than $2.70 but less than $3.00 0%
Between $3.00 and $3.30, inclusive 13%
More than $3.30 but less than $3.60 86%
Between $3.60 and $3.90, inclusive 1%
More than $3.90 but less than $4.20 0%
Between $4.20 and $4.50, inclusive 0%
More than $4.50 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 32
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 356
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.084471
3.
-0.043465
4.
-0.041419
5.
-0.03763

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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