What will be the value of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for electricity in November 2023?

Started May 26, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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US electricity prices jumped as global natural gas supplies were heavily impacted by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, but they have begun to fall in early 2023 (CBS News, USA Today, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2023 and the outcome determined using seasonally adjusted Bureau of Labor Statistics data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED), expected in December 2023 (FRED, BLS). As of the launch of this question, the value of the CPI for electricity in March 2023 was 267.897.

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The question closed "More than 265.000 but less than 280.000" with a closing date of 1 December 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 220.000 1%
Between 220.000 and 235.000, inclusive 1%
More than 235.000 but less than 250.000 1%
Between 250.000 and 265.000, inclusive 5%
More than 265.000 but less than 280.000 92%
280.000 or more 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 19
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 131
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.193372
2.
-0.189254
3.
-0.188383
4.
-0.135635
5.
-0.097305

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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