Will restrictions on Iran's access to SWIFT be lifted before 1 August 2016?

Started Sep 14, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 17, 2016 08:00PM UTC

As part of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, the EU agreed to remove restrictions on Iran's access to SWIFT once the IAEA has verified Iranian compliance (https://news.riskadvisory.net/2015/16/iran-summary-of-nuclear-deal-timeline-and-sanctions-relief/ , http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-deal-swift-banking-system-2015-7 , http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-15/iran-likely-to-wait-for-months-to-rejoin-global-banking-system ). For more information on the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication see https://www.swift.com/about_swift/index .
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 90.00%
No 10.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 261
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 809
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.036
2.
-0.036
3.
-0.036
4.
-0.036
5.
-0.035

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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