What percentage of 2024 Democratic presidential nomination support will Joe Biden have as of 31 August 2023, according to RealClearPolitics?

Started Jun 02, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 31, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 30 August 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by RealClearPolitics' RCP Poll Average for the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClearPolitics). The "RCP Average" as displayed will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 31 August 2023. The range of days under "Date" will be immaterial.

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The question closed "More than 65.0% but less than 70.0%" with a closing date of 31 August 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 50.0% 0%
Between 50.0% and 55.0%, inclusive 0%
More than 55.0% but less than 60.0% 3%
Between 60.0% and 65.0%, inclusive 7%
More than 65.0% but less than 70.0% 90%
70.0% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 46
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 262
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.296628
2.
-0.213932
3.
-0.175063
4.
-0.143725
5.
-0.138725

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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