Will the Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the Virginia state House and/or Senate in the 2023 legislative elections?

Started Jun 02, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 07, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Elections for the Virginia General Assembly, which consists of the House of Delegates (House) and Senate, are scheduled to be held on 7 November 2023 (Ballotpedia - Virginia House Elections, Ballotpedia - Virginia Senate Elections). As of the launch of this question, Republicans controlled the House and Democrats the Senate (Virginia Mercury, AP). Non-Democratic candidates would not count, irrespective of any caucus affiliation.

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The question closed "Yes, both the House and Senate" with a closing date of 7 November 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only the House 15%
Yes, only the Senate 36%
Yes, both the House and Senate 37%
No 13%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 30
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 72
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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