How many Republican presidential candidates will participate in person for the first Republican primary debate in 2023?
Closed Aug 23, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The Republican National Committee has announced the first Republican presidential primary debate with new, minimum standards for participation (CBS News, Politico). The first Republican presidential primary debate is scheduled for 23 August 2023 in Milwaukee, WI, with another planned for 24 August 2023 should enough candidates qualify (GOP.com). For the purposes of this question, a split between two or more days would be considered a single debate. If the debate is rescheduled for another date in 2023, then the close date will be rescheduled accordingly. If there is no Republican primary debate in 2023, the question will be voided.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "7 or 8" with a closing date of 23 August 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 4 or fewer | 0% | |
| 5 or 6 | 4% | |
| 7 or 8 | 91% | |
| 9 or 10 | 5% | |
| 11 or 12 | 0% | |
| 13 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 66 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 268 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |