How many more total Supercharger stations will Tesla report globally for the fourth quarter of 2023 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2022?

Started Jun 16, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Tesla already has the largest network of EV chargers in the US, and both General Motors and Ford have announced that their EVs will be chargeable at Tesla stations starting in 2024 (Guardian, AP, Inside EVs). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using Tesla's official quarterly updates once available, typically found under "Shareholder Deck" here: Tesla - Quarterly Results. Tesla's total number of Supercharger stations globally as of the fourth quarter of 2022 was 4,678 (Tesla - Q4 2022 Update, see page 7).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "Between 1,000 and 1,300, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 1,000 20%
Between 1,000 and 1,300, inclusive 42%
More than 1,300 but fewer than 1,600 31%
Between 1,600 and 1,900, inclusive 4%
More than 1,900 but fewer than 2,200 2%
2,200 or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 26
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 77
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username