How many more total Supercharger stations will Tesla report globally for the fourth quarter of 2023 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2022?

Started Jun 16, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Tesla already has the largest network of EV chargers in the US, and both General Motors and Ford have announced that their EVs will be chargeable at Tesla stations starting in 2024 (Guardian, AP, Inside EVs). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using Tesla's official quarterly updates once available, typically found under "Shareholder Deck" here: Tesla - Quarterly Results. Tesla's total number of Supercharger stations globally as of the fourth quarter of 2022 was 4,678 (Tesla - Q4 2022 Update, see page 7).

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The question closed "Between 1,000 and 1,300, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 1,000 20%
Between 1,000 and 1,300, inclusive 42%
More than 1,300 but fewer than 1,600 31%
Between 1,600 and 1,900, inclusive 4%
More than 1,900 but fewer than 2,200 2%
2,200 or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 26
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 77
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.135461
3.
-0.11999
4.
-0.09181
5.
-0.086807

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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