Keem-Star asks:

Which candidate will win the 2023 Guatemalan presidential election?

Started Jun 23, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 20, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Guatemala has seen a volatile presidential election campaign in 2023, with one candidate who was leading in the polls disqualified in May 2023 (ABC News, AP). Guatemala's next presidential election is scheduled for 25 June 2023, with an expected runoff scheduled for 20 August 2023 if needed (Guatemala Supreme Electoral Tribunal, Americas Society/Council of the Americas). "Another outcome" would include the Supreme Electoral Tribunal declaring the election null and void (Guatemala Electoral Law and Political Parties [in Spanish]).

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The question closed "Someone else" with a closing date of 20 August 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Edmond Mulet 0%
Zury Ríos Sosa 0%
Sandra Torres 29%
Someone else 67%
Another outcome 4%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 32
Average for questions older than 6 months: 215
Number of Forecasts 120
Average for questions older than 6 months: 605
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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