Keem-Star asks:
Which candidate will win the 2023 Guatemalan presidential election?
Closed Aug 20, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Guatemala has seen a volatile presidential election campaign in 2023, with one candidate who was leading in the polls disqualified in May 2023 (ABC News, AP). Guatemala's next presidential election is scheduled for 25 June 2023, with an expected runoff scheduled for 20 August 2023 if needed (Guatemala Supreme Electoral Tribunal, Americas Society/Council of the Americas). "Another outcome" would include the Supreme Electoral Tribunal declaring the election null and void (Guatemala Electoral Law and Political Parties [in Spanish]).
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The question closed "Someone else" with a closing date of 20 August 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Edmond Mulet | 0% | |
| Zury Ríos Sosa | 0% | |
| Sandra Torres | 29% | |
| Someone else | 67% | |
| Another outcome | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 32 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 205 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 120 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 582 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
