How many job openings in the US will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for February 2024?

Started Jul 07, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Amidst higher interest rates, the US labor market has continued to show resilience (US News & World Report, Yahoo Finance, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 29 February 2024 and the outcome determined using BLS data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) for February 2024, expected in April 2024 (FRED, BLS - JOLTS Release Schedule). As of 6 July 2023, the number of job openings reported for February 2023 for "Total" was 9,974 (in thousands).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "More than 8.5 million but fewer than 9.5 million" with a closing date of 1 March 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 5.5 million 0%
Between 5.5 million and 6.5 million, inclusive 0%
More than 6.5 million but fewer than 7.5 million 3%
Between 7.5 million and 8.5 million, inclusive 22%
More than 8.5 million but fewer than 9.5 million 74%
Between 9.5 million and 10.5 million, inclusive 1%
More than 10.5 million 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 34
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 202
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.131
2.
-0.119
3.
-0.119
4.
-0.098
5.
-0.077

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username