Argentinians are set to elect a new president this year, with incumbent President Alberto Fernández not seeking reelection as the country deals with inflation and poor economic conditions (AP, El País, US News & World Report, Americas Quarterly). Party primaries are scheduled for 13 August 2023, with the next presidential election scheduled for 22 October 2023 and a runoff on 19 November 2023 if needed (Buenos Aires Times).

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NOTE 28 September 2023: Under Argentine law, a candidate for President or Vice-president can be replaced in certain circumstances, including the death of the candidate. In that event, a forecast for a candidate who ceases to be a candidate would be considered a forecast for the replacement candidate chosen under Argentine law (Argentina.gob.ar, see Article 61).

The question closed "Javier Milei" with a closing date of 19 November 2023.

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