Will Thailand hold general elections before 1 January 2018?

Started Oct 04, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Thailand's government has promised to hold a general election in 2017, but it remains unclear how the elections will be conducted and how the Pheu Thai Party of former prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra, ousted in a May 2014 coup, will factor into that process (Reuters, Al Jazeera). Recommended Question Will the peace agreement between Colombia and the FARC win approval in the upcoming national plebiscite? Will Syria hold UN-backed elections before 1 January 2018? Thailand did not hold general elections. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 260
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1386
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.43
2.
-0.383
3.
-0.381
4.
-0.38
5.
-0.371

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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