SharpEdge asks:

When will Teamsters union workers vote to approve a new collective bargaining agreement with United Parcel Service (UPS)?

Started Jul 07, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 22, 2023 07:00PM UTC
Tags

The current contract for unionized workers at UPS expires on 31 July 2023, with workers having already approved a strike if a new deal isn't reached (The Hill, CNN, CBS News). The question would close upon the vote by the union members approving the new collective bargaining agreement.

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The question closed "Between 16 August 2023 and 31 August 2023" with a closing date of 22 August 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 August 2023 0%
Between 1 August 2023 and 15 August 2023 0%
Between 16 August 2023 and 31 August 2023 95%
Between 1 September 2023 and 15 September 2023 5%
Not before 16 September 2023 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 24
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 107
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.061986
2.
-0.053301
3.
-0.050987
4.
-0.032668
5.
-0.015338

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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