Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the US domestic box office gross for the movie Barbie between and including 21 July 2023 and 6 August 2023, according to Box Office Mojo?
Closed Jul 26, 2023 05:30AM UTC
Barbie is a live-action comedy adventure film based on the toy of the same name (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 6 August 2023 and the outcome determined using total non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for 21 July through and including 6 August 2023 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released in theaters on 21 July 2023 (Collider).
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NOTE 20 July 2023: A typo in the question description has been fixed. The outcome determined using total non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for 21 July through and including 6 August 2023.
The question closed "$190 million or more" with a closing date of 25 July 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $70 million | 2% | |
| Between $70 million and $100 million, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $100 million but less than $130 million | 1% | |
| Between $130 million and $160 million, inclusive | 1% | |
| More than $160 million but less than $190 million | 3% | |
| $190 million or more | 93% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 56 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 96 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 480 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
