404_NOT_FOUND asks:

Which driver will finish in second (2nd) place for the 2023 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?

Started Jul 14, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 19, 2023 07:35AM UTC

Max Verstappen, who won the 2022 World Drivers' Championship, held a commanding lead in the standings as of the British Grand Prix on 9 July 2023 (Bleacher Report). The question will be suspended on 25 November 2023, the day before the final race in the season (Formula 1 - Driver Standings, Formula 1 - Abu Dhabi Grand Prix).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "Sergio Pérez" with a closing date of 18 November 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fernando Alonso 0%
Lewis Hamilton 5%
Sergio Pérez 88%
George Russell 3%
Carlos Sainz 4%
Max Verstappen 0%
Another driver 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 40
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 282
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 480
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username