Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Who will win the 2024 Panamanian presidential election?
Started
Jul 28, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 05, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Closing May 05, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Among the candidates is former President Ricardo Martinelli, who was leading in the polls as of May 2023 before being sentenced in July 2023 to more than 10 years in prison for corruption charges (Voice of America, Rio Times, Brazilian Report, CNN [in Spanish], Twitter [in Spanish]). The next Panamanian presidential election is scheduled for 5 May 2024 (International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Isabel Blandón | 3.90% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -0.10% |
| José Gabriel Carrizo | 13.70% | -1.10% | -1.10% | -1.60% |
| Ricardo Martinelli | 51.30% | -0.10% | -0.10% | +1.60% |
| Rómulo Roux | 10.70% | +1.00% | +1.00% | +2.40% |
| Martín Torrijos | 10.20% | +0.20% | +0.20% | +0.30% |
| Someone else | 10.20% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -2.60% |