What will be the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for April 2024?
Closing May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
While the US unemployment rate remained near record lows as of July 2023, the pace of new job creation and the eventual impacts of interest rate hikes are expected to put pressure on employment (US News & World Report, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 30 April 2024 and the outcome determined using the official civilian unemployment rate (U3) as reported monthly by the US Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) when first released, expected in May 2024 (BLS).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower than 3.5% | 0% | -0.19% | 0% | -1.00% |
| 3.5% or higher, but lower than 4.0% | 94.00% | +0.75% | +8.00% | +22.00% |
| 4.0% or higher, but lower than 4.5% | 6.00% | -0.56% | -8.00% | -21.00% |
| 4.5% or higher, but lower than 5.0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 5.0% or higher, but lower than 5.5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 5.5% or higher, but lower than 6.0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 6.0% or higher | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |