Will the US civilian labor force participation rate be higher in December 2023 than it was in October 2023?

Started Aug 18, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The labor force participation rate has been trending down since the beginning of the 21st century (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using Bureau of Labor Statistics data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database once figures for December 2023 are first released, expected in January 2024 (FRED).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 82%
No 18%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 54
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 211
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.717791
2.
-0.714676
3.
-0.585401
4.
-0.494021
5.
-0.476026

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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