How many job openings in the US will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for November 2023?

Started Aug 18, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Amidst higher interest rates, job openings in the US have fallen in 2023 but are still at historically elevated levels (US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2023 and the outcome determined using BLS data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database for November 2023, expected in January 2024 (FRED, BLS - JOLTS Release Schedule). As of 18 August 2023, the total number of job openings reported for November 2022 was 10,746 (in thousands), or 10.746 million.

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The question closed "Between 8.5 million and 9.0 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 December 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 7.5 million 0%
Between 7.5 million and 8.0 million, inclusive 1%
More than 8.0 million but fewer than 8.5 million 6%
Between 8.5 million and 9.0 million, inclusive 25%
More than 9.0 million but fewer than 9.5 million 43%
Between 9.5 million and 10.0 million, inclusive 20%
More than 10.0 million 5%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 42
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 194
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.082899
2.
-0.067082
3.
-0.066705
4.
-0.064288
5.
-0.063298

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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